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Wrong MLR generation

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Hi All,

 

I am facing one issue in MLR forecasting

Attached is the input for my MLR:

 

YX1X2X3X4
4914
6743
2632550.252
2058550.252
4824
5111
5135
1855950.252
6052
5462
4193
3085
3688
1943350.2521
4602
2265550.252
4782
2218450.2521
4782
2212250.252

 

Forecast results:

Initial MLR.jpg

I understand there is a huge Multi-collinearity in Independent Variables and data which i am giving is not correct. But my question is what is happening when I am changing value from 0.28 to 0.25. I can see the correct MLR, also it is not calculated as per the formula. But then how system is calculating below value ?

 

Second MLR.jpg

 

If i make a slight change in Corrected promo that is from 5.0000 to 5.0001, again system is giving invalid results:

 

thrisd.jpg

 

 

Can anyone please suggest.

 

Thanks,

Mayank


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