Dear Experts,
I have specific question regarding statistical forecast in DP
i am using automatic model selection -2
outlier correction - expost method
mape upper limit set to -20 % in diagnosis group
forecast profile - uni variant
now i have
Invoice History -
Jan-13 | 13-Feb | 13-Mar | 13-Apr | 13-May | 13-Jun | 14-Jul | 13-Aug | 13-Sep | 13-Oct | 15-Nov | 13-Dec |
105 | 204 | 244 | 455 | 22 | 45 | 25 | 67 | 76 | 68 | 89 | 100 |
now i run statistical forecast
what will be the result
Jan-14 | 14-Feb | 14-Mar | 14-Apr | 14-May | 14-Jun | 14-Jul | 14-Aug | 14-Sep | 14-Oct | 15-Nov | 14-Dec |
105 | 204 | 244 | 455 | 22 | 45 | 25 | 67 | 76 | 68 | 89 | 100 |
my question is does jan 13 invoice history is taken for jan 14 forecast ?? like wise for other month too
please advise how the system use time bucket and to calculate the forecast
i also have question regarding ex-post method and median method and none
whats the difference between these methods
Regards
Raju