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Statistical forecast - automatic model

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Dear Experts,

I have specific question regarding statistical forecast in DP

 

i am using automatic model selection -2

 

outlier correction - expost method

 

mape upper limit set to -20 % in diagnosis group

 

forecast profile - uni variant

 

 

now  i have

 

 

Invoice History - 

 

Jan-1313-Feb13-Mar13-Apr13-May13-Jun14-Jul13-Aug13-Sep13-Oct15-Nov13-Dec
10520424445522452567766889100

                             

 

now i run statistical forecast

 

 

 

what will be the result

 

 

Jan-1414-Feb14-Mar14-Apr14-May14-Jun14-Jul14-Aug14-Sep14-Oct15-Nov14-Dec
10520424445522452567766889100

 

my question is does jan 13 invoice history is taken for jan 14 forecast ??  like wise for other month too

 

please advise how the system use time bucket and to calculate the forecast

 

i also have question regarding ex-post method and median method and none

whats the difference between these methods

 

Regards
Raju


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